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~~~Investment letter – October 18, 2009LONG TERM STABILITY OR INSTABILITY?The twenty-five year period between 1982 and 2007 may be the best period in economic terms in our nation’s history. There were only two shallow recessions, each lasting just 8 months. This extended period of economic growth and stability provided a wonderful investment climate that lifted the DJIA from under 1,000 in 1982 to over 14,000 in 2007. In order to gain a better perspective and appreciation of this period of prosp

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Random Feed wrote an interesting post today on
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Profit-taking in JPY crosses dominated the Asian session after the fall in the DJIA and subsequent weakness in the Nikkei on Wednesday. USD-JPY, which spiked to highs of 98.35 early in Tokyo trading, dropped to lows of 97.42 by the afternoon on the cross sales.

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- Euro, British Pound Gain Versus Safe-Havens, Mixed Against Other Majors - Australian Dollar, New Zealand Dollar the Currencies of Choice Amid Improved Risk Appetite US Dollar, Japanese Yen Fall as Treasury’s Plan Spurs Investor Optimism, 6.84% Rally in DJIA The US dollar and Japanese yen were the weakest of the majors as the “safe havens” didn’t stand to benefit from a rebound in risk appetite. The improvement in investor sentiment that sent high-yielding currencies surging and the DJIA up

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Random Feed wrote an interesting post today on
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Aspire Misery Index For the Week Ended March 20, 2009 For the week, the DJIA closed up 0.8%, marking the first consecutive week gain since the week ended May 2, 2008. The Samp;P gained 1.6%, while the Nasdaq gained 1.8%. middot;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp; Industrial Output ndash; The Federal Reserve reported that industrial output dropped by 1.4% in February. Expectations were for a 1.2% decline. middot;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp;nbsp; Capacity Utilization ndash; Fell

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Random Feed wrote an interesting post today on
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We spend most of our time looking at our various valuation models in search of stocks that are cheap. We do, however, watch the price trends of stocks and the major indices, especially in times like these when we believe prices have become so disconnected from valuations. The chart at the right (click to enlarge) shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) for the last twelve months. You will note that we are also showing two moving averages: a 200 day (dark line) and a 50 day (light line).

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